Integrated Assessment: Implications of Uncertainty
نویسنده
چکیده
1. Defining Uncertainty in Integrated Assessments 1.1. Integrated Assessments and Integrated Assessment Models 1.2. Different Categories of Uncertainties 1.3. Links between Integrated Assessment and Uncertainty 2. Implications of Uncertainty for Policy Formation 2.1. Uncertainty, Its Resolution, and the Policy Imperative 2.2. Uncertainty about Framing Questions and Adopting Decision Rules 3. Implications of Uncertainty for Integrated Assessments 3.1. Accuracy and Precision 3.2. Parameter, Structural, and Paradigm Uncertainty 4. Methodologies for Informing Decisions 4.1. Dominant Choices 4.2. Value of Information 4.3. Hedging Strategies 4.4.Prognostic Policy Analysis 5. Use of IA Models as Diagnostic Tools Glossary Biographical Sketch
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